Naira Swap: Nigeria At Risk Of CBN-Induced Recession – NGF

The Nigeria Governors Forum (NGF) on Saturday said Nigeria is at risk of recession due to the redesigned naira policy of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Naija News learnt that the governors stated this in a statement released on Saturday at the end of their meeting.

The Chairman of the forum, Aminu Tambuwal condemned the apex bank over the handling of the naira redesign.

The governors’ forum further stated that the cash scarcity is causing hardship.

The statement reads, “The argument by the CBN for what it describes as the astronomical increase in the currency in circulation as the basis for this policy is not supported by its own data.

“According to the CBN, the currency in circulation increased from N1.4 trillion in 2015 to N3.23 trillion in October 2022. The Bank appears not to have taken into consideration the increase in the size of the country’s nominal GDP over this period, the doubling of consumer prices, the rising population and the impact of the humongous Ways & Means advances to the federal government by the Central Bank of Nigeria over this period.

“In the circumstances, it is safe to draw either of two conclusions – the CBN data may be incomplete or in fact, Nigerians may have done exceptionally well in the transition to a cashless economy.

“In addition, considering the sizeable informal sector in the nation, the amount of banknotes created in exchange so far by the CBN implies it vastly underestimated the economy’s actual cash needs.

“The inability to use the new notes has had far-reaching economic effects, leading to the emergence of the Naira black market, severe food inflation, variable commodities prices based on the method of exchange, and long queues as well as crowds around Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) and banking halls across the country with individuals hoping to get a fraction of their money in new notes to meet their daily livelihood.

“The country runs the risk of a CBN-induced recession.”